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FIRE & Retirement Calculators

The most important question in personal finance is not "How much can I earn?" It is "When can I stop earning — and will I have enough?" FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) and retirement calculators exist to answer that question with math, not hope. Whether you are pursuing aggressive early retirement in your 30s or planning a traditional retirement at 65, the underlying calculation is the same: you need a portfolio large enough to sustain your annual spending for the rest of your life.

These tools are for anyone thinking seriously about their financial future. If you are early in your career and want to know what your current savings rate implies about your retirement age, the FIRE Calculator projects your trajectory year by year. If you are mid-career and want to answer "Am I on track?", the Retirement Calculator models your accumulation phase and withdrawal phase together to show whether your savings will last. If you are already saving in a 401(k), the 401(k) Calculator shows how your contributions, employer match, and investment returns compound over your remaining working years. And if you have heard of Coast FIRE — the point where your existing investments, left untouched, will grow to your retirement number by a target age — the Coast FIRE Calculator tells you whether you have reached that milestone.

The outputs of FIRE calculators center on two key numbers. The first is your FIRE number: the total portfolio size needed to sustain your annual spending indefinitely. Under the widely cited 4 percent rule, this is 25 times your annual expenses. If you spend $60,000 a year, your FIRE number is $1,500,000. The second is your FIRE date: the projected month and year when your savings trajectory crosses that threshold given your current income, savings rate, and investment returns. Retirement calculators extend this by projecting your portfolio balance through both the saving years and the spending years, showing you whether the money runs out or survives to the end of your plan.

These projections assume steady average returns, which real markets do not deliver. The value is not in the precision of any single projection but in the ability to compare scenarios. What happens if average returns are 5 percent instead of 7 percent? What if you retire two years earlier and lose two years of contributions while adding two years of withdrawals? What if healthcare costs in early retirement are $15,000 a year instead of $8,000? Running these scenarios surfaces the assumptions that matter most to your plan.

There are several common planning mistakes these calculators help you avoid. The first is misapplying the 4 percent rule. The original Trinity Study was designed for a 30-year retirement, which works well for someone retiring at 65. But if you retire at 40 and need your money to last 50 or 60 years, a 4 percent withdrawal rate carries meaningfully more risk. Many early retirees use 3.25 to 3.5 percent for the added safety margin, which increases the required portfolio by 15 to 25 percent. The second mistake is ignoring healthcare. If you retire before 65, you lose employer-sponsored insurance and do not yet qualify for Medicare. ACA marketplace premiums for a couple in their 50s can run $1,200 to $1,800 per month depending on the state, and this needs to be in your spending estimate. Third, be aware of sequence-of-returns risk: a major market downturn in the first few years of retirement is far more damaging than one during your accumulation phase, because you are selling shares at depressed prices to fund living expenses. This is why many planners recommend holding one to two years of expenses in cash or bonds as a buffer. Finally, do not forget Social Security. Even if you retire early, you will eventually be eligible for benefits (reduced at 62, full at 67), and that income meaningfully reduces how much your portfolio needs to cover. Model your plan with and without Social Security to understand the sensitivity.

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FIRE Planning

Calculate your financial independence number, estimate your FIRE date, and explore Coast FIRE — the point where compounding takes over.

Retirement Planning

Project your retirement savings, model withdrawal strategies, and see how 401(k) contributions and employer matches compound over your career.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the 4% rule?
The 4% rule says you can withdraw 4% of your portfolio in your first year of retirement, then adjust for inflation each year, and your money should last at least 30 years. It is based on the Trinity Study, which analyzed historical stock/bond returns. For early retirees with 40-50 year timelines, many planners suggest using 3.25-3.5% to add a safety margin. Our FIRE Calculator lets you adjust the withdrawal rate to see how it affects your FIRE number.
What is my FIRE number?
Your FIRE number is the portfolio size needed to cover your annual spending indefinitely. At a 4% withdrawal rate, it is 25 times your annual expenses. If you spend $50,000/year, your FIRE number is $1,250,000. At a 3.5% rate, it is about 28.6x ($1,430,000). Our FIRE Calculator computes this based on your actual spending and preferred withdrawal rate.
What is Coast FIRE?
Coast FIRE is the point where your existing investments, left to grow without any additional contributions, will reach your retirement number by a target age (typically 65). Once you hit Coast FIRE, you only need to earn enough to cover current living expenses — you do not need to save anymore. Our Coast FIRE Calculator tells you whether you have already reached this milestone.
How do I account for healthcare costs before Medicare?
Healthcare is the biggest wildcard for early retirees. ACA marketplace plans typically cost $400-$800/month per person depending on your state, age, and income. If you retire before 65, you need to budget for this. Add estimated healthcare costs to your annual spending in the FIRE Calculator to see how they affect your FIRE number and projected date.
Should I max out my 401(k) before investing elsewhere?
Generally yes — at minimum, contribute enough to get the full employer match (that is an immediate 50-100% return). After the match, the optimal order depends on your tax situation: Roth IRA, then max 401(k), then taxable brokerage is a common sequence. Our 401(k) Calculator shows the impact of different contribution levels including the match.
What rate of return should I assume for retirement planning?
For a stock-heavy portfolio, 7% real (inflation-adjusted) or 10% nominal is a common long-term assumption. For a balanced portfolio (60/40 stocks/bonds), 5-6% real. For conservative planning, use 5% real. Our calculators let you try different rates — running optimistic and pessimistic scenarios gives you a range rather than false precision.
What is sequence-of-returns risk?
Sequence-of-returns risk is the danger that poor market returns in the early years of retirement permanently damage your portfolio, even if average returns are fine over the full period. A 30% drop in year one is devastating because you are selling shares at low prices to fund withdrawals. This is why many FIRE planners use a lower withdrawal rate (3-3.5%) or keep 1-2 years of expenses in cash.
How does Social Security affect my FIRE number?
Social Security reduces the amount your portfolio needs to cover. If Social Security will cover $24,000/year of your $50,000 annual spending, your portfolio only needs to sustain $26,000/year — cutting your FIRE number roughly in half. However, you cannot claim Social Security until age 62 (reduced) or 67 (full), so early retirees need to bridge the gap.
What's the difference between Lean FIRE, regular FIRE, and Fat FIRE?
These terms describe spending levels. Lean FIRE targets $25,000-$40,000/year in spending (minimalist lifestyle). Regular FIRE targets $40,000-$100,000/year (comfortable middle-class lifestyle). Fat FIRE targets $100,000+ per year (premium lifestyle with travel, dining, etc.). The math is the same — 25x annual spending — but the target portfolio size varies dramatically.
How do I model early retirement in my 30s or 40s?
Early retirement requires a longer runway (40-60 years vs. 25-30), which means you need a lower withdrawal rate, more conservative assumptions, and careful healthcare planning. Use our FIRE Calculator with your actual expenses, set a conservative withdrawal rate (3-3.5%), and include estimated healthcare costs. The calculator shows year-by-year projections so you can see if your portfolio survives the full timeline.